Bitcoin Price Analysis: Will The 2015 Historic Support Line Save BTC From a Crash To $7000 – $8000?

Only five days ago, the price of Bitcoin touched $9800, followed by another failure to break up the critical descending trend-line (marked yellow on the following daily chart).

Since then, the primary cryptocurrency had been correlating with the plunging global markets, and as of writing these lines, Bitcoin is trading slightly above $9000.

The Micro and Macro Level

If we look at the micro-level, which is the following 4-hour chart, we can see that Bitcoin so-far holds the supporting blue line. As mentioned here two days ago, the $8900 – $9000 support level is the most crucial for the short term.

In case of a break-down, the bullish higher-lows trajectory will be invalidated.

From the macro level, the weekly candle (as can be seen on the following chart) touched the long-term descending trend-line, which started forming since 2017.

At the same time, the current candle close is likely to take place below the supporting ascending trend-line, which started forming in 2015.

A weekly close (Sunday’s midnight) above $9400 is critical for the bulls. The last time this crucial line was broken, took place during the second week of March 2020 – the plunge from $8000 to $3600 in a matter of a few days.

btc_jun27_w-min

BTC/USD weekly chart since 2015. Source: TradingView

Next Key Support & Resistance Levels

As mentioned above:

“the critical level is the $8900 – $9000 region (along with the blue ascending trend-line on the 4-hour chart). A breakdown here and Bitcoin is likely to revisit good old support levels.”

In case of a breakdown, then the next level of support lies at $8650. Further below is around $8300 – $8400, which also includes the significant 200 and 100 days moving average lines (marked light-green and white on the following daily chart).

The latter also includes the long-term yellow ascending trend-line as can be seen on the daily chart.

From above, the first major area of resistance lies around $9200. Further above lies at $9320 (Thursday’s high), followed by the 50-days moving average line (the pink line), which lies around $9400.

Total Market Cap: $262.7 billion

Bitcoin Market Cap: $169.5 billion

BTC Dominance Index: 64.5%

*Data by CoinGecko

BTC/USD BitStamp 4-Hour Chart

btc_jun27_4h-min

BTC/USD BitStamp 1-Day Chart

btc_jun27_d-min

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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.


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