research

Gensler’s Done It All Before

Abstract: In this piece, we compare the gold & precious metals trading community (gold bugs) in the 2009 to 2012 period, to that of today’s cryptocurrency community. In particular we look at the similar and controversial nature of the role played by US regulator Gary Gensler today and thirteen years ago. In both cases, some...
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Miner Fee Gathering Capability (Part 2) – Out of Band Fees

Abstract: We take a second look at the fee differences between actual Bitcoin blocks produced by miners and the fees one may expect, based on a local Bitcoin Core node. We explore the concept of out of band fees as a potential explanation for these differences. We have detected evidence that the recent apparent increase...
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Lightning Payments – When Are They Too Small To Secure?

Abstract: When making low value payments on the lightning network, especially in “high” onchain fee environments, the security benefits of the lightning’s HTLC system may be somewhat limited. This problem may only be applicable in a limited number of scenarios, namely while the payment is in-flight and mainly for payment routers. Quantifying the magnitude of...
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The Bitcoin Forum

Abstract In this piece we examine the history of the Bitcoin forum, which Satoshi launched in November 2009 and is still around today. In particular we focus on various hacks which impacted the forum in the 2011 to 2015 period. We also focus on the forum’s finances, including donations it received of over 6,000 BTC...
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Reckless – Chapter 21: Proof Of Stake Economy

Chapter 21 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which...
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Reckless – Chapter 20: Staking Derivatives

Chapter 20 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which...
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Cryptocurrency Interest Rate Derivative Discussion (Twitter Spaces)

Next Tuesday, 4 April 2023 (10:00 UTC/ 6PM SGT), we invite you to join one of our Co-Founders Arthur Hayes and the CEO of Voltz Labs, Simon Jones for a discussion covering Bitcoin and cryptocurrency interest rate derivatives.   You’ll find the link to the Twitter Space here.  Related The post appeared first on Blog BitMex
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Reckless – Chapter 19: The Proof Of Stake Interest Rate

Chapter 19 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which...
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Reckless – Chapter 18: Proof Of Stake

Chapter 18 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which...
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Reckless – Chapter 17: Celsius

Chapter 17 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which...
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Reckless – Chapter 16: The Earn Collapse

Chapter 16 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 15: Financial Contagion

Chapter 15 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 14: Crypto Credit Market Structure

Chapter 14 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 13: DeFi

Chapter 13 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Ordinals Data

Abstract: Recently usage of “Ordinals”, a system where one can embed image data into the Bitcoin blockchain has increased. In this brief piece, based on blockchain data, we analyse the growth of the Ordinals system. Up until 7 February 2023, we have identified over 13,000 of these transactions, which take up 526MB of Bitcoin blockspace....
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Reckless – Chapter 12: Stablecoins

Chapter 12 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which...
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Reckless – Chapter 11: The Earn Model

Chapter 11 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which...
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Reckless – Chapter 10: Bitcoin’s Risk Free Rate

Chapter 10 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 9: Bitcoin As Collateral

Chapter 9 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 8: The Emergence Of Lending Markets

Chapter 8 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 7: The Early Years

Chapter 7 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 6: Bitcoin Interest Rate

Chapter 6 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 5: Everything Bubble

Chapter 5 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 4: The Wrong Rate

Chapter 4 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 3: The Natural Rate

Chapter 3 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 2: Interest Rate Ethics

Chapter 2 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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Reckless – Chapter 1: The History Of Interest Rates

Chapter 1 of the book Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates is published below. The full book is available on Amazon. The book was written before the bankruptcy of FTX and therefore does not include coverage of this event. However, the book does provide useful commentary in the run up to the failure of FTX, which provides...
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BSV Hardfork – Security Considerations

Abstract: On 10 November 2022, the Bitcoin SV (BSV) Association released a new hardfork client, BSV 1.0.13. This new client contains a potential hardfork protocol change. It is difficult to gain absolute clarity over what the upgrade enables or how it works. However, it appears as if the upgrade may allow anyone cooperating with miners...
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BitMEX Provides Snapshot Update to Bitcoin Proof of Reserves & Proof of Liabilities

In the summer of 2021, BitMEX provided a demonstration of a working Bitcoin Proof of Reserves and Proof of Liabilities system. Today we provide another snapshot, as per our Bitcoin reserves on 8th Nov 2022. Overview A basic overview of the results of the exercise is provided below:   Reserves Liabilities Snapshot time 8 Nov...
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Reckless: The Story Of Cryptocurrency Interest Rates

We are delighted to announce the publication of a new book. The book is available on Amazon now. Buy Now Book Synopsis This book begins by providing a brief history of interest rates. It discusses the perplexing conundrum of how to determine the most appropriate base interest rate in an economy. The book then scrutinises...
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